This was part of 
            Systemic Risk and Stress Testing
          
        
            
      Liquidity Transformation and Systemic Risk of Mutual Funds
                  
            Agostino Capponi, Columbia University
            
              Tuesday, April 5, 2022
            
          
              
    Abstract:  We develop a framework to quantify the impact of first-mover incentives created by liquidity mismatch on the vulnerability of mutual funds to fire-sale spillover losses. We calibrate our model to US mutual funds and find that, in stressed market scenarios, spillover losses are multiple times larger than in a model that ignores the first-mover incentive. The nonlinearity of spillover losses reinforces fire-sale contagion across funds and asset classes, as it increases the incentive to redeem early and exacerbates the transmission of financial shocks through the portfolio commonality channel. Vulnerability is higher if sophisticated investors, most sensitive to the first-mover advantage, are concentrated in fewer funds.